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Mikhail
Portnoi |
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The
USA in the Global Financial System
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The US trade and budget deficits as well as the high public
debt are commonly viewed as signs of America's economic
vulnerability. These imbalances, however, are natural results
of the US' economic preponderance and unrivaled potential
for innovation and development. Exports to US markets fuel
economic growth in many countries and at the same time free
labor and capital within the United States for use in advanced
sectors of the US economy. Largely because of this trend,
the United States remains at the head of world economic
progress. The inflow of capital in the American economy
- the flip side of its trade deficit - helps to create new
sectors and generate jobs. The high demand for US Government
bonds reflects a virtually absolute confidence amond investors;
none of them is in any way cajoled into purchasing these
bonds. The US financial market has a unique ability to "absorb"
vast amounts of money and offers investors a wide and flexible
array of borrowing instruments. Apart from the Federal Reserve,
no other central bank is capable of offering a discount
rate in the range of 5 percent. The recent weakening of
the dollar does not testify to the weakness of the US economy.
It results largely from the growth in oil prices. An increase
of 30 dollars per barrel leads to an injection in the world
economy of almost an additional trillion dollars and a subsequent
fall of the dollar exchange rate. Once oil prices begin
declining, the US and other developed countries will reclaim
that cash through the sales of finished goods and expensive
services so that the dollar will become strong again.
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Evgeniy
Rogovskiy |
 |
Fighting
to Control the Space
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The current US security strategy is premised on deterring
potential threats by means of preventive defense and by
maintaining America's absolute preponderance in information
technologies. A crucial dimension of the US information
technology development is spreading elements of American
information infrastructure into space and preventing other
states from doing the same. Washington seeks to complement
its military preponderance by domination in space technologies
with a special emphasis on the use of space for the collection
and dissemination of information. One of the notable projects
undertaken by the US for this purpose is developing a Global
Information Grid - an overarching module that is to integrate
all American defense-related information systems. However,
as recent studies have demonstrated, any space-based elements
are particularly vulnerable to attack by mechanical means.
Therefore, the Bush Administration has launched several
projects to protect the space-based information infrastructure
by conventional means. It also intends to make the aerospace
industry a motive force for the growth of the US economy.
This, however, creates grave risks of militarization of
space. An alarming sign has been the US Administration's
refusal to further discuss measures to prevent the military
use of space. On this issue, however, Washington finds itself
opposed to most of the international community.
|
Andrey
Krutskikh |
 |
On
Legal and Political Foundations of Global Information Security
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States are becoming increasingly concerned with enhancing
their information security. The era of global information
flows and rapid dissemination of information has created
new risks for the stability of many governments worldwide.
At the global level, the unleashing of information warfare
technologies can result in a new "material" arms race among
nations. It is therefore essential that states undertake
to refrain from actions that can harm other states' information
infrastructure or inflict psychological or socio-economic
damage on these states' population. One important venue
for addressing global information security has been the
United Nations. Over the past six years, 33 reports on this
subject matter, including four by the Russian Federation,
have been discussed in UN bodies and task groups. A general
understanding was achieved that information security cannot
be ensured through government measures; NGOs and businesses
need to take their part of responsibility in this field.
Until 2005, resolutions on information security proposed
by Russia were unanimously adopted by the UN General Assembly.
Over the last two years, however, the United States has
established itself as a major critic of the Russian approach
to information security. Washington resorted to information
warfare in all of the armed conflicts in which the US was
involved after the end of the cold war. The United States
is therefore interested in retaining the freedom of hands
to employ information warfare technologies as Washington
deems necessary. The US objects to international legal regulation
of the information sphere.
|
Larisa
Deriglazova |
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International
Law: Judicial and Extrajudicial Dimensions
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The meaning of justice has two main interpretations. On
one hand, it can be understood as objectivity, impartiality
and observance of the generally accepted norms and procedures.
On the other, justice is perceived as a ruling based on
an underlying truth. These two interpretations were bridged
by ancient philosophers through the concept of law. Law
was regarded as a means to achieve justice in relations
between people. In relations between nations, justice is
embodied in international law. International humanitarian
law (IHL) is a part of the body of international law aimed
at overcoming the traditionally national character of norms
regulating the use of violence. The development of IHL,
which began in the mid 19th century, was subsequently accelerated
twice - in the aftermath of the First and Second World Wars.
The atrocities committed in each of these wars demonstrated
the need to codify humane treatment of armed conflict victims
in a number of widely recognized international legal documents.
In addition to that, IHL drew a line dividing legitimate
and illegitimate actors and goals in warfare. Another dimension
of IHL is the extension of legal responsibility in war to
the level of individuals. This principle was first implemented
by the two post-World War II tribunals. At the end of the
century, international tribunals were established to rule
on war crimes committed in the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda.
International Criminal Court - a body entrusted with investigating
any war crime - was established in 2003 and focused on Congo,
Uganda and Sudan. An extrajudicial way of restoring justice
is practiced through Reconciliation Commissions. Their main
function is to make an authoritative judgment on the responsibility
for past conflicts or atrocities. Such judgments do not
necessarily result in legal action against guilty parties.
Notable examples are Reconciliation Commissions established
in Germany in 1992 and Serbia in 2002.
|
Alexei
Bogaturov |
 |
Three
Generations of Russia's Foreign Policy Doctrines
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Over the sixteen years of Russia’s statehood, its foreign
policy has passed through three notable stages. The ideas
that underlay foreign policy concepts of the early Yeltsin
Administration were informed by the legacy of Soviet perestroika
and “new political thinking”. At that time, Russia refrained
from formulating its distinct national interests preferring
instead to identify them with those of Western democratic
states. Russia downgraded its relations with South Asia,
the Arab world, Africa and Latin America. However, the implementation
by the United States of the “democracy enlargement” concept
in the 1990s only damaged Russia’s geopolitical positions.
The official phraseology somewhat changed in 1994 when Russia
asserted its “special interests” in the neighboring states.
More significant change occurred in 1996 when Evgeny Primakov
was appointed Russian foreign minister. Primakov did not
regard Russian interests as necessarily opposite to those
of the West. Yet he wanted the West to take into consideration
Russian opinion on the international issues affecting Russia.
Russia’s international strategy in the late 1990s is best
described as “selective partnership”. This idea was laid
out in the 2000 version of Russian Foreign Policy Concept.
The first part of the 2000s witnessed a new major attempt
at Russia’s partnership with the West after 9/11 and a new
disillusionment which, in this case, did not result in a
complete reversal of cooperative policies vis-È-vis the
West. The hallmark of the 2000s became the rise in Russia’s
foreign policy resource base. This trend resulted in a new
version of Russian foreign policy doctrine which was formulated
by President Putin in several public speeches in 2006 and
2007. The thrust of this new approach is to bring Russia’s
influence in the world in line with its increased wealth
and economic power. Most notably, Moscow declared its willingness
to diversify its Russian foreign policy priorities, including
directions of energy exports, and contribute to the shaping
of “global agenda”. Moscow also returned to the positive
view of globalization, characteristic of the early Putin
Administration. Notwithstanding all the criticism of the
United States, the new concept excludes a possibility of
sliding into a new confrontation between Russia and the
West.
|
Ilya
Tarasov |
 |
European
Unity Tested by the East
|
  
The accession of twelve Central and Eastern European (CEE)
states to the European Union in 2004 and 2007 significantly
altered the EU's political landscape and patterns of foreign
policy making. New members contributed only 6 percent to
the EU's GDP, but claimed about 30 percent of votes in the
Council and seats in the European Parliament. However, popular
support for the EU in its new members has declined since
their accession due to a certain disillusionment in the
benefits of EU membership. The cohesiveness of European
Union's Common Foreign and Security Policy has been jeopardized
by the diverging approaches of EU members to the partnership
with the United States and, to a certain extent, Russia.
Within the CEE states, the "East-West" foreign policy compass
has been replaced with a "Washington-Brussels-Moscow" triangle.
While right-wing political forces lean towards closer relations
with the US, the Left and centrists pin more hopes on the
EU institutions in Brussels. As a rule, CEE states have
not achieved fully democratic political systems - their
major deficiency remains a high degree of manipulation of
voters by the powers-to-be. Populist parties have succeeded
in elections in several CEE countries as a result of such
manipulation and the general "reform fatigue". The trends
of political reform in CEE states often contradict the West
European political tradition: many CEE countries have a
major political party created "from above" by the incumbent
authorities while the differences between party platforms
become less principled. It is important for the EU to formulate
a coherent policy vis-È-vis its new immediate Eastern neighbors,
such as Ukraine, Belarus or Moldova. In the absence of agreement
within the EU, this policy will be defined by strong East
European actors, such as Poland, who pursue their own "partisan"
agendas. Brussels needs to prevent CEE countries from swaying
EU's relations with Russia as CEE states' approach to Russia
is strongly affected by the "ghosts of the past".
|
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Digest of foreign publications
|
Ivan
Timofeev |
 |
Studies
of State Identity in Contemporary Political Science
|
|
Vitaliy
Shkurkin |
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International
Experience of Struggle against Money Laundering
|
Vladimir Kolosov,
Nadezhda Borodulina |
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The
"Geopolitical Burden" in Mutual Perceptions of Russia and
the Baltic States
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Dmitriy
Zamyatin |
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"Overcoming
Demons" in the Images of Georgia-Russia Conflict
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PERSONA GRATA
|
Faces
and Personalities
|
Alexander
Dynkin |
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"...the
knowledge-based economy is a less evident phenomenon"
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Two Russians – Three Opinions
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Alla
Yaz'kova |
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Romania-Moldova: Together or Apart?
|
Pavel
Smirnov |
 |
The Transnistrian Node
|
OUR NETWORK
|
Forum Strengthens the
Academic Community
|
| |
 |
"Debating
America" Next to the Kremlin Wall
|
SCRIPTA MANENT
|
Reviews
|
Andrey
Sushentsov |
 |
War as a Legal Procedure
David Kennedy. Of War
and Law. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 2006. 206
p.
|
Andrey
Baikov |
 |
Who Feels Threatened by China's Security?
Bates Gill. Rising Star:
China’s New Security Diplomacy. Washington: Brookings Institution
Press, 2007. 267 p.
|
Sergey
Veselovskiy |
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State in the World Economic Governance Regimes
Daniel Drezner. All Politics Is Global: Explaining
International Regulatory Regimes. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton
University Press, 2007. 254 P.
|
Alexey
Fenenko |
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International Security: A Liberal Interpretation
Êóëàãèí Â.Ì. Ìåæäóíàðîäíàÿ áåçîïàñíîñòü.
Ì.: Àñïåêò-Ïðåññ, 2006. 318 ñ.
|
Eduard
Soloviev |
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From "New Political Thinking" to "Sovereign
Pragmatism"
Tsygankov A.P.
Russia’s Foreign Policy. Change
and Continuity in National Identity. Oxford: Rowman and Littlefield
Publishers, 2006. 217 p.
|
Mikhail
Troitskiy |
 |
History of World Transformations
Ñèäîðîâ À.Þ., Êëåéì¸íîâà Í.Å.
Èñòîðèÿ ìåæäóíàðîäíûõ îòíîøåíèé. 1918–1939 ãã. Ì.: ÇÀÎ Öåíòðïîëèãðàô,
2006. 640 ñ.
Äóáèíèí Þ.À., Ìàðòûíîâ Á.Ô., Þðüåâà Ò.Â. Èñòîðèÿ ìåæäóíàðîäíûõ
îòíîøåíèé (1975–1991 ãã.). Ì.: Ìîñêîâñêèé ãîñóäàðñòâåííûé
èíñòèòóò ìåæäóíàðîäíûõ îòíîøåíèé (Óíèâåðñèòåò); Ðîññèéñêàÿ
ïîëèòè÷åñêàÿ ýíöèêëîïåäèÿ (ÐÎÑÑÏÝÍ), 2006. 336 ñ.
|
Ilya
Gaiduk |
 |
A Cheer for the United Nations
Paul Kennedy. The Parliament
of Man: The United Nations and the Quest for World Government.
London: Allen Lane, 2006, 361 p.
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